0x5416aea59c9e6ed80354ab5cf191c9e566130a1a
0x5416aea59c9e6ed80354ab5cf191c9e566130a1a
- Realised P&L
- $-18.45
- Volume
- $762.33
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $158.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.94at 0.377Will Julio Cesar win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?
- +$8.96at 0.775Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.700Will Renan win the second-most votes in the 2026 Alagoas Senate election?
- +$5.40at 0.730Will Ciro Nogueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Piauí Senate election?
- +$4.40at 0.780Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 00:56 | Will Z.ai's GLM-5.3-Flash model debut at a score of at least 1480 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |