xiaokaNoproblem
0x541619e6e2deeaf026b08a20fb385604969f31be
- Realised P&L
- $6.56
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $16.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) · Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 0.640 | 0.665 | $3.33 | +$0.13 |
| Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $2.92 | −$0.03 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · No | 0.560 | 0.555 | $2.77 | −$0.03 |
| Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $2.67 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) · Club Atlético de Madrid | 0.510 | 0.505 | $2.52 | −$0.03 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) · Real Racing Club | 0.360 | 0.355 | $1.77 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ratchaburi FC vs. Shanghai Port FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.62 |
| Spread: Kashima Antlers (-2.5) · Newcastle United Jets | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.25 |
| Spread: AFC Ajax (-1.5) · Fortuna Sittard | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.40 |
| Vegalta Sendai vs. Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| Tōkyō Verdy vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Spread: Johor Darul Ta'zim (-1.5) · Johor Darul Ta'zim | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.05 |
| Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.870 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.50at 0.500Spread: Lions FC (-1.5)
- +$5.88at 0.412Will Shanghai Port FC win on 2026-09-15?
- +$5.53at 0.447Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24?
- +$5.40at 0.460Spread: Rosenborg BK (-2.5)
- +$5.09at 0.661Tōkyō Verdy vs. JEF United Ichihara Chiba: O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 16:11 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 09-16 16:10 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-2.5) | BUY | 0.36 | $1.80 |
| 09-16 16:09 | Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-2.5) | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-16 14:41 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-16 14:40 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.59 | $2.95 |
| 09-16 12:30 | Port FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-16 12:30 | Jeonbuk FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 09-16 12:23 | Port FC vs. Vissel Kobe: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-16 10:34 | Jeonbuk FC vs. Kashiwa Reysol: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 09-16 09:39 | Borneo Samarinda vs. Dewa United: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 09-16 08:54 | Borneo Samarinda vs. Dewa United: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-16 08:53 | Borneo Samarinda vs. Dewa United: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.85 | $8.50 |
| 09-16 08:22 | Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 09-15 16:31 | Al Ain FC vs. Al Nassr Club: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |