VillaniGame
0x540cd932de22e44b89e73de2f0e3ac2b030b74d9
- Realised P&L
- $-27.73
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 34
- Open portfolio
- $18.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded34
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.32at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 4?
- +$15.68at 0.216Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 5?
- +$13.88at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?
- +$13.76at 0.689Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on October 4?
- +$4.34at 0.595Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 08:33 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.589999941 | $4.00 |
| 10-08 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.3227699341 | $3.00 |
| 10-08 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9? | BUY | 0.3899999844 | $3.00 |
| 10-07 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.0371428571 | $0.52 |
| 10-07 08:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.0503075601 | $1.46 |
| 10-07 08:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.4549410465 | $5.00 |
| 10-07 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5599999851 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4653464993 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.393442623 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.0106738403 | $0.22 |
| 10-06 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 13:52 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5? | SELL | 0.0665308112 | $4.03 |