PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

VillaniGame

0x540cd932de22e44b89e73de2f0e3ac2b030b74d9

Realised P&L
$-27.73
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
34
Open portfolio
$18.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded34
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8? · No0.6200.660$5.32+$0.32
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 9? · No0.5900.570$3.86−$0.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9? · No0.3900.375$2.88−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9? · Yes0.3230.310$2.88−$0.12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8? · Yes0.0500.058$1.67+$0.21
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8? · No0.4550.125$1.37−$3.63
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? · No0.5000.065$0.78−$5.22
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 8? · Yes0.0370.003$0.04−$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 4? · No0.4100.000$0.00−$20.00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 4? · No0.3920.000$0.00−$8.26
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$9.28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on October 5? · No0.3340.000$0.00−$14.00
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 7? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00−$0.22
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 4? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on October 5? · Yes0.0640.000$0.00−$0.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 08:33Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 9?BUY0.589999941$4.00
10-08 08:32Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 9?BUY0.3227699341$3.00
10-08 08:30Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?BUY0.3899999844$3.00
10-07 08:47Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 8?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
10-07 08:46Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.0371428571$0.52
10-07 08:46Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 8?BUY0.0503075601$1.46
10-07 08:45Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 8?BUY0.4549410465$5.00
10-07 08:44Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8?BUY0.5$6.00
10-06 08:32Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 7?BUY0.5599999851$6.00
10-06 08:31Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 7?BUY0.4653464993$6.00
10-06 08:31Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 7?BUY0.4899999984$6.00
10-06 08:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 7?BUY0.393442623$6.00
10-06 08:30Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on October 7?BUY0.0106738403$0.22
10-06 08:29Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?BUY0.01$2.00
10-05 13:52Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C or higher on October 5?SELL0.0665308112$4.03