li5478685
0x540caf49369705480bd1e3a0924c05097516fa49
- Realised P&L
- $238.34
- Volume
- $201.1k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $938.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · No | 0.963 | 0.955 | $276.00 | −$2.31 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $175.65 | −$0.18 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $20-$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $174.66 | −$0.61 |
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.991 | $118.92 | −$0.96 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.969 | $116.22 | −$3.66 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.953 | $38.12 | −$1.84 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? · No | 0.999 | 0.927 | $18.55 | −$1.43 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$187.99at 0.810LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A
- +$91.69at 0.890LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Group B
- +$88.24at 0.850LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)
- +$85.00at 0.680LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner
- +$78.86at 0.830US strike on Syria by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 12:27 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $278.31 |
| 10-07 12:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $175.82 |
| 10-07 12:22 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 10-07 12:19 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-07 12:19 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-07 12:18 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-07 12:17 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $20-$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $175.27 |
| 10-07 12:16 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $119.88 |
| 09-26 13:03 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 28 above $20? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-26 13:03 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-26 13:02 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2? | BUY | 0.985 | $9.85 |
| 09-19 13:56 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 21 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-19 13:55 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |