PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

li5478685

0x540caf49369705480bd1e3a0924c05097516fa49

Realised P&L
$238.34
Volume
$201.1k
Markets traded
364
Open portfolio
$938.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded364
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 12:27Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.963$278.31
10-07 12:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.999$175.82
10-07 12:22Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.999$119.88
10-07 12:19Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.25 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.999$39.96
10-07 12:19Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $1.00 Week of October 5 2026?BUY0.999$19.98
10-07 12:18Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?BUY0.999$19.98
10-07 12:17Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $20-$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?BUY0.999$175.27
10-07 12:16Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 5 – Oct 9?BUY0.999$119.88
09-26 13:03Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of September 28 above $20?BUY0.99$198.00
09-26 13:03Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $6.00-$7.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.985$9.85
09-26 13:02Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.985$9.85
09-26 13:02Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.985$9.85
09-26 13:02Will Netflix (NFLX) close at >$120 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 28 – Oct 2?BUY0.985$9.85
09-19 13:56Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 21 above $0.50?BUY0.99$198.00
09-19 13:55Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $7.00-$8.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?BUY0.99$4.95