8d9CD
0x540c261b2f26228005277553eb537d4a93f21d86
- Realised P&L
- $-181.06
- Volume
- $88.2k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $81.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.50at 0.205Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.54at 0.174Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.85at 0.705Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.80at 0.560Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $130k first?
- +$6.53at 0.967Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 07:37 | Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $14.87 |
| 11-01 07:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.69 | $10.35 |
| 11-01 07:37 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $10.74 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 11-01 07:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 08-18 07:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.40 |
| 08-18 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $20.70 |
| 08-18 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 06-05 08:44 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $88.82 |
| 06-05 08:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 05-12 02:11 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $28.91 |
| 05-12 02:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $76.77 |
| 05-12 02:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $65.80 |
| 05-12 02:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.95 |
| 05-12 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |