PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

8d9CD

0x540c261b2f26228005277553eb537d4a93f21d86

Realised P&L
$-181.06
Volume
$88.2k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$81.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5000.515$25.75+$0.75
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6850.720$22.18+$1.08
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6000.585$17.55−$0.45
Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9910.988$14.81−$0.05
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5910.079$1.58−$10.24
Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$0.75
Will Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.65
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$0.55
Will Athletic Bilbao win the UEFA Europa League? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$0.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.8700.000$0.00−$10.44
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025? · Yes0.1550.000$0.00−$0.78
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Simon Harris be the next Prime Minister of Ireland? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00−$0.33
Will Biden pardon Trump? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.25
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first? · 100k0.4900.000$0.00−$7.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 07:37Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.991$14.87
11-01 07:37Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.69$10.35
11-01 07:37Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2027?BUY0.68$10.74
11-01 07:36Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6$18.00
11-01 07:36Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5$25.00
08-18 07:21Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$6.40
08-18 07:19Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.69$20.70
08-18 07:19Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.13$6.50
06-05 08:44Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.998$88.82
06-05 08:43Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.18$10.80
05-12 02:11Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$28.91
05-12 02:11Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?BUY0.997$76.77
05-12 02:11Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?BUY0.997$65.80
05-12 02:10Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 11-17?BUY0.996$12.95
05-12 02:10Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.99$100.00