PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x540bc5be91105abefde2bc6bf13fae8d068cb500

Realised P&L
$14.59
Volume
$792.37
Markets traded
105
Open portfolio
$12.87

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded105
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.7700.983$6.38+$1.38
Will Jonathan Hofeller be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO? · No0.4401.000$4.84+$2.71
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4700.155$1.65$3.35
Will Trump say "Hell" during his Executive Order signing? · No0.5100.000$0.00$2.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 16:13Will Oracle Q4 Cloud revenue be above $10.25B?BUY0.7$3.50
06-04 08:00Will Trump say "Soybean" during Wisconsin events?BUY0.62$3.10
06-02 21:10Will CrowdStrike Q1 net new ARR be above $275M?BUY0.76$3.80
06-02 21:05Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30PM on June 6?BUY0.33$2.97
06-02 20:56Will Broadcom Q2 AI revenue be above $11.5B?BUY0.5899998438$3.40
05-30 11:35Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?BUY0.4229571287$4.36
05-30 11:30Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?BUY0.8349999741$4.68
05-28 19:34FDA approves Cingulate's Ctx-1301?BUY0.3899999567$4.41
05-28 19:29Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?BUY0.5$3.19
05-28 19:24Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3939999776$4.74
05-26 21:23Will Dell Q1 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above $23.5B?BUY0.6299999434$3.23
05-23 20:29Will Trump post "Scam" or "Hoax" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.299102235$1.96
05-23 20:23Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.325B?BUY0.25$1.25
05-23 20:07Will Synopsys Q2 Design Automation revenue be above $1.8B?BUY0.66$3.30
05-13 11:01Will Trump say "Regime change" this week?BUY0.67$3.35