NellieSmith356
0x54052add9dd6062fcdf997d0c8d7d4147b395f95
- Realised P&L
- $2.79
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 432
- Open portfolio
- $33.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded432
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $33.20 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.10at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?
- +$0.07at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 30?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 7?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 05:41 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 1? | BUY | 0.99899998 | $33.30 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.00 |
| 09-27 20:18 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.50 |
| 09-23 03:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.16 |
| 09-23 01:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999914 | $20.80 |
| 09-23 01:12 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.30 |
| 09-22 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.80 |
| 09-22 19:41 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.90 |
| 09-21 23:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.20 |
| 09-19 10:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998999997 | $24.90 |
| 09-18 00:24 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.20 |
| 09-17 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.70 |
| 09-13 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or higher on September 13? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.70 |
| 09-11 01:56 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 75.0 and 75.5 million views on day 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.80 |
| 09-10 20:07 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.90 |