n0stra
0x5404ff2f35d0349697ba133da774c2155c441a0a
- Realised P&L
- $3.73
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $797.63
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.105 | $346.50 | −$143.67 |
| Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.103 | 0.116 | $231.00 | +$25.50 |
| Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.077 | 0.049 | $220.13 | −$131.65 |
| Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.34 |
| Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$44.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-94.15at 0.126Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$-219.74at 0.293Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 05:31 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.111 | $99.90 |
| 10-31 15:26 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.0787797257 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 22:19 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | BUY | 0.075895165 | $151.79 |
| 10-24 02:26 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.096 | $105.60 |
| 10-19 05:31 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | SELL | 0.2905074839 | $900.57 |
| 10-15 16:11 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.1485366094 | $950.63 |
| 12-14 21:36 | Xabi Alonso out as Real Madrid Manager in 2025? | BUY | 0.2629999979 | $78.34 |
| 12-14 21:36 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.0234680402 | $21.48 |
| 12-14 21:35 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | SELL | 0.0161553193 | $12.82 |
| 11-08 19:53 | Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.126319912 | $115.63 |
| 10-28 20:18 | Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.293 | $48.73 |
| 05-17 21:36 | Will Albania finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5? | BUY | 0.3 | $44.16 |