0x5400eae7fd1cca4c6edb72d0745c18a433551342
0x5400eae7fd1cca4c6edb72d0745c18a433551342
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $1.22M
- Markets traded
- 625
- Open portfolio
- $53.58
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded625
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.3kat 0.165Will the price of Solana be above $110 on February 1?
- +$3.7kat 0.206Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on December 15?
- +$2.7kat 0.189Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 27?
- +$2.6kat 0.082Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 2?
- +$2.4kat 0.080Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 03:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.16 | $147.05 |
| 10-07 03:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.15 | $61.95 |
| 10-07 03:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 13? | BUY | 0.32 | $32.00 |
| 10-07 03:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.28 | $268.80 |
| 10-07 03:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 11? | BUY | 0.26 | $118.30 |
| 10-07 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 10? | BUY | 0.24 | $80.40 |
| 10-07 02:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? | BUY | 0.2 | $109.00 |
| 10-07 02:56 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.13 | $61.10 |
| 10-06 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 8? | BUY | 0.4 | $39.19 |
| 10-06 03:35 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.7903178768 | $783.17 |
| 10-06 03:35 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.8065164683 | $2.2k |
| 10-01 19:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $0.95 |
| 10-01 19:17 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6293438889 | $1.8k |
| 09-29 03:30 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $101.83 |
| 09-29 02:18 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $290.50 |