Everysecondholdsaworld
0x53fd058b41b73c2c6c3ff82f39ac42f7bb867e7e
- Realised P&L
- $-29.79
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $21.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$109.48at 0.031Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 27?
- +$66.29at 0.022Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 16?
- +$59.26at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 4?
- +$40.00at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
- +$39.54at 0.584Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 01:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 24? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 06-20 07:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 06-18 17:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $5.42 |
| 06-18 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.9299999993 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET | BUY | 0.078375434 | $25.00 |
| 06-13 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on June 15? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.49 |
| 06-13 18:55 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on June 15? | BUY | 0.006 | $0.25 |
| 06-10 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.05 |
| 06-10 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.10 |
| 06-10 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.0022431036 | $0.27 |
| 06-10 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 10? | SELL | 0.0674534826 | $9.46 |
| 06-09 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 9? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.21 |
| 06-09 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 9? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 06-09 03:37 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on June 9? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.29 |
| 06-08 04:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 8? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.52 |