ddttd
0x53f8ffe8ed035461888adebe136d8afd7768f76e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $84.4k
- Markets traded
- 293
- Open portfolio
- $1.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded293
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 1.0% and 1.4%? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.014 | $0.70 | −$16.30 |
| Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.016 | $0.48 | −$14.52 |
| Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.00 |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.00 |
| Will Erik Lutz advance from the CA-38 primary election? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.80 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.60 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026? · No | 0.833 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$41.65 |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$81.00at 0.595Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.500Will Solana hit $300 in March?
- +$14.05at 0.500Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$6.70at 0.865Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$3.93at 0.560Will Ethereum reach $3900 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 14:00 | Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.08 | $4.00 |
| 07-31 14:00 | Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 0.0% and 0.8%? | SELL | 0.59 | $28.31 |
| 07-31 05:56 | Will Haley Stevens win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.504126 | $25.21 |
| 07-31 05:55 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? | SELL | 0.511 | $25.55 |
| 07-31 05:49 | Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.362 | $7.24 |
| 07-31 05:31 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.47 | $21.21 |
| 07-31 05:12 | Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? | SELL | 0.44 | $22.00 |
| 07-31 05:05 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 07-31 05:01 | Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 07-31 04:52 | Will ACM Neto win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.56 | $28.00 |
| 07-31 03:45 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | SELL | 0.81 | $40.50 |
| 07-31 03:21 | Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 07-31 02:41 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.73 | $36.50 |
| 07-31 02:27 | Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 07-30 14:37 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $9.50 |