roxtonn
0x53e17eb849697657c93aeb04515bbee1b75ef13f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.19
- Volume
- $115.85
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $10.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET · Up | 0.620 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Down | 0.640 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.80 |
| Will Plasma reach $1.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.075 | $0.38 | −$0.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Up | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.75 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$0.72at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
- +$0.60at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
- +$0.60at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$0.52at 0.696Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-03 19:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $1.86 |
| 05-03 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 05-03 19:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | SELL | 0.11 | $0.55 |
| 05-03 19:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 05-03 18:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 05-03 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 05-03 18:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 05-03 16:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.59 | $1.75 |
| 05-03 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | SELL | 0.42 | $2.10 |
| 05-03 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 05-03 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 05-03 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.20 |