Ladoniver
0x53e090d4670569c4d9561b4cbb82f594d79efd63
- Realised P&L
- $22.35
- Volume
- $15.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $6.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.41at 0.340Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
- +$53.82at 0.550Will Manchester United beat Rangers?
- +$23.48at 0.460Blue Jackets vs. Islanders
- +$4.43at 0.530Dolphins vs. Jets
- +$3.25at 0.480Knicks vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 19:45 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 19:44 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.6549998101 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 19:30 | Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 19:51 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31? | BUY | 0.7899995339 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 19:57 | Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 20:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 06-13 20:14 | AI bubble burst in 2026? | BUY | 0.7959999331 | $2.00 |
| 06-13 20:13 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.36 | $0.54 |
| 05-24 19:10 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 19:09 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |
| 04-02 19:32 | Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3519997832 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 19:41 | Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.3479997996 | $1.00 |
| 03-23 19:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.94 |
| 02-11 19:14 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 02-11 19:13 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.0419999612 | $1.00 |