PolyBot

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Traders

Ladoniver

0x53e090d4670569c4d9561b4cbb82f594d79efd63

Realised P&L
$22.35
Volume
$15.4k
Markets traded
54
Open portfolio
$6.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded54
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample43 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 19:45Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-09 19:44Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026?BUY0.6549998101$1.00
09-29 19:30Will Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes win the next Arequipa mayoral elections?BUY0.6299998362$2.00
08-05 19:51Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?BUY0.7899995339$1.00
07-27 19:57Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
06-13 20:162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.429999828$1.00
06-13 20:14AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.7959999331$2.00
06-13 20:13US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.36$0.54
05-24 19:10US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.66$1.00
05-24 19:09Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
04-02 19:32Will Alejandro Mostajo Rueda win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?BUY0.3519997832$1.00
03-23 19:41Will Sergio Oliver Rodríguez win the 2026 Cochabamba gubernatorial election?BUY0.3479997996$1.00
03-23 19:40Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.32$0.94
02-11 19:14Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.33999983$1.00
02-11 19:13Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?BUY0.0419999612$1.00