lassenstr
0x53d69b666dc37a863245729e8981de5d1114055a
- Realised P&L
- $152.97
- Volume
- $152.5k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? · No | 0.840 | 0.840 | $1.3k | +$0.00 |
| Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.807 | 0.765 | $1.1k | −$62.50 |
| Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? · No | 0.836 | 0.870 | $973.57 | +$38.59 |
| FDA approves Retatrutide this year? · No | 0.928 | 0.983 | $513.63 | +$28.59 |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.682 | 0.645 | $303.14 | −$17.45 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$463.27at 0.995Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$305.02at 0.969Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
- +$195.00at 0.805Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
- +$153.27at 0.996MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$126.52at 0.770Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 02:02 | Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $410.00 |
| 07-22 03:31 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? | BUY | 0.83 | $113.71 |
| 07-21 22:42 | Will the US federal government take a stake in Anthropic PBC? | BUY | 0.839999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-21 22:36 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.93 | $465.00 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $304.79 |
| 07-14 19:25 | Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? | BUY | 0.84 | $84.00 |
| 07-11 13:06 | FDA approves Retatrutide this year? | BUY | 0.88 | $14.66 |
| 06-28 18:20 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-10 21:09 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $87.99 |
| 06-04 08:45 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.095 | $127.82 |
| 06-03 21:35 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.0k |
| 06-03 15:47 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $18.2k |
| 05-28 18:06 | Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 05-23 23:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8409950044 | $1000.00 |
| 05-23 23:28 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.8405842543 | $1000.00 |