0x53d2fB88123da8B4dBABB36840DedBAf67466b69-1772817211624
0x53d2fb88123da8b4dbabb36840dedbaf67466b69
- Realised P&L
- $10.27
- Volume
- $109.18
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.91at 0.337Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$3.83at 0.240Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$2.71at 0.516Will USA win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$2.15at 0.457Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
- +$2.09at 0.477Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 18:59 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.31 |
| 08-29 22:37 | Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998001 | $1.04 |
| 08-22 18:01 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 13:18 | Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.5299999483 | $2.46 |
| 06-30 14:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999324 | $2.05 |
| 06-27 14:11 | Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5899999738 | $1.35 |
| 06-23 10:39 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.5899999334 | $2.57 |
| 06-22 16:47 | Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.30 |
| 06-21 14:30 | Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.5799999566 | $1.07 |
| 06-20 16:01 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.3299999585 | $2.94 |
| 05-18 11:03 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.42 | $2.52 |
| 05-17 13:31 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.5699998575 | $1.36 |
| 05-17 11:08 | Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 500k and 550k? | BUY | 0.5119999301 | $1.70 |
| 05-16 12:17 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers | BUY | 0.47 | $1.88 |
| 05-15 17:25 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.629999834 | $1.29 |