hypemota
0x53d1d4b116d1375bcf2f73506cda878863ca6b67
- Realised P&L
- $-81.93
- Volume
- $7.7k
- Markets traded
- 339
- Open portfolio
- $16.86
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded339
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.031 | 0.022 | $7.26 | −$2.74 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9AM ET · Up | 0.770 | 1.000 | $5.00 | +$1.15 |
| Will Chicago Bears win the 2026 NFC North? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.185 | $4.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.006 | $0.29 | −$2.37 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? · Yes | 0.181 | 0.013 | $0.22 | −$2.69 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.003 | $0.08 | −$1.33 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 200 (High)? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.45 |
| Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 4 Winner · Team Yandex | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.77 |
| Will SpaceX’s “High” share price on its first day of trading hit 250 (High)? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.49at 0.294Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on February 26?
- +$6.73at 0.230Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on February 25?
- +$6.59at 0.230Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
- +$6.54at 0.190Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.34at 0.230Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:58 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 23? | SELL | 0.1 | $1.07 |
| 09-22 14:36 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.22 | $1.61 |
| 09-22 14:14 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 22? | SELL | 0.24 | $0.04 |
| 09-22 00:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 09-21 16:17 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | SELL | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-21 16:12 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 25? | SELL | 0.956 | $4.78 |
| 09-21 16:10 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | SELL | 0.85 | $5.99 |
| 09-21 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.95 |
| 09-20 02:50 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.06 | $2.14 |
| 09-19 13:15 | Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 09-16 05:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | SELL | 0.674 | $8.61 |
| 09-16 05:10 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? | SELL | 0.84 | $4.35 |
| 09-14 17:17 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.50 |
| 09-03 03:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 09-03 03:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |