Coulsondged
0x53c84dff31b24dfed10ce3d61686c5d309e57433
- Realised P&L
- $59.29
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.29
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.115 | $2.29 | +$0.61 |
| Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5) · 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) · Dalian Yingbo FC | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.68 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.00at 0.860Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?
- +$26.69at 0.961Spread: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)
- +$3.28at 0.978Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
- +$0.00at 0.013Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?
- +$0.00at 0.028Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 12:19 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.142 | $17.32 |
| 07-27 12:11 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.143 | $17.45 |
| 07-21 02:59 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.978 | $400.98 |
| 05-31 02:23 | Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30? | BUY | 0.86 | $688.00 |
| 05-30 07:37 | Spread: Kataller Toyama (-2.5) | BUY | 0.96 | $659.52 |
| 05-30 06:30 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $661.50 |
| 05-30 05:00 | Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $662.15 |
| 05-06 10:13 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.82 |
| 05-06 10:12 | Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? | SELL | 0.013 | $5.81 |
| 05-02 07:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $10.47 |
| 05-02 07:56 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $14.28 |
| 05-02 07:27 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.028 | $10.84 |