PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Coulsondged

0x53c84dff31b24dfed10ce3d61686c5d309e57433

Realised P&L
$59.29
Volume
$12.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$2.29

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration61.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by September 30? · Yes0.0840.115$2.29+$0.61
Spread: 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 (-2.5) · 1. FC Heidenheim 18460.0100.000$0.00$9.30
Spread: Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) · Dalian Yingbo FC0.0120.000$0.00$10.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 12:19Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?SELL0.142$17.32
07-27 12:11Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.143$17.45
07-21 02:59Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?BUY0.978$400.98
05-31 02:23Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?BUY0.86$688.00
05-30 07:37Spread: Kataller Toyama (-2.5)BUY0.96$659.52
05-30 06:30Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?BUY0.9$661.50
05-30 05:00Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by May 31?BUY0.95$662.15
05-06 10:13Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?SELL0.013$5.82
05-06 10:12Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30?SELL0.013$5.81
05-02 07:56Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?SELL0.028$10.47
05-02 07:56Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?SELL0.028$14.28
05-02 07:27Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?SELL0.028$10.84