vvv7
0x53c6d5cab22d886da30a7fb486881fc427b862e0
- Realised P&L
- $96.78
- Volume
- $472.4k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $71.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Isabel Díaz Ayuso be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.008 | $14.75 | +$12.91 |
| Will Ester Muñoz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $11.24 | +$3.75 |
| Will Cuca Gamarra be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $10.77 | +$3.59 |
| Will María Jesús Montero be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $10.38 | +$3.46 |
| Will Pepa Millán be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $10.38 | +$3.46 |
| Will Ernest Urtasun be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $9.61 | +$3.20 |
| Will Aitor Esteban be the next Prime Minister of Spain? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $4.39 | +$1.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?
- +$15.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?
- +$14.06at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
- +$10.00at 0.001Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:25 | Will Branimir Nestorović win the next Serbia presidential election? | SELL | 0.005488178 | $0.08 |
| 10-02 22:23 | Will Yolanda Díaz be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.002 | $3.11 |
| 10-02 22:22 | Will Miguel Tellado be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.001 | $7.37 |
| 10-02 22:22 | Will Borja Sémper be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.87 |
| 10-02 22:21 | Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain? | SELL | 0.001 | $1.96 |
| 06-15 17:20 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 06-15 17:19 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.05 |
| 06-15 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.06 |
| 06-09 05:06 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |
| 04-30 20:14 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 04-21 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.02 |
| 04-21 16:00 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.20 |