065165
0x53bf139b98be178ee830e462453c2c4697a29214
- Realised P&L
- $-0.27
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $21.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.968 | 0.972 | $11.04 | +$0.04 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.580 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes | 0.830 | 0.115 | $4.16 | −$25.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.00at 0.500Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on November 25?
- +$2.98at 0.815Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.08at 0.410Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 23?
- +$0.53at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?
- +$0.53at 0.987Opinion FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 02:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $6.00 |
| 09-30 00:54 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.9679999458 | $11.00 |
| 06-30 01:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999978 | $30.00 |
| 06-30 01:17 | Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.809999962 | $13.00 |
| 06-30 01:15 | Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.94 |
| 06-30 01:15 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:56 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 05-22 06:55 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 06:55 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:55 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:54 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:54 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 05-22 06:54 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 04-16 09:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.998 | $286.52 |
| 04-16 09:21 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |