PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

065165

0x53bf139b98be178ee830e462453c2c4697a29214

Realised P&L
$-0.27
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$21.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample34 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9680.972$11.04+$0.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · Yes0.5800.580$6.00+$0.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8300.115$4.16−$25.84

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 02:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?BUY0.5799999768$6.00
09-30 00:54Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.9679999458$11.00
06-30 01:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8299999978$30.00
06-30 01:17Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.809999962$13.00
06-30 01:15Will Trenten Merrill win The Bachelorette Season 22?SELL0.993$9.94
06-30 01:15Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.997$10.00
05-22 06:56Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in May?BUY0.999$150.00
05-22 06:55Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in May?BUY0.999$100.00
05-22 06:55Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.998$10.00
05-22 06:55Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.996$10.00
05-22 06:54Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?BUY0.999$10.00
05-22 06:54Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?BUY0.999$10.00
05-22 06:54Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.998$10.00
04-16 09:23Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?BUY0.998$286.52
04-16 09:21Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.999$10.00