0x53B68f0Cc24F26bEb8149a69488847982ca40721-1739819280630
0x53b68f0cc24f26beb8149a69488847982ca40721
- Realised P&L
- $-1.0k
- Volume
- $80.9k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $7.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.156 | 0.185 | $6.7k | +$1.0k |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.019 | $456.17 | −$43.82 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$249.99 |
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$694.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-99.83at 0.380Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 15:58 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1947954862 | $1.5k |
| 10-31 15:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in November? | BUY | 0.0213733791 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 11:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1458922212 | $4.2k |
| 06-04 16:27 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0184237262 | $248.00 |
| 06-04 16:17 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0142285658 | $147.00 |
| 06-01 12:20 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0135546964 | $200.00 |
| 04-08 18:59 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY | 0.024975025 | $138.30 |
| 04-08 09:20 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0474535942 | $99.43 |
| 04-08 09:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April? | BUY | 0.0188039128 | $92.15 |
| 02-17 19:26 | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BUY | 0.3799999981 | $99.83 |