PolyBot

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Traders

0x53b2279beb4c4c12ea063d0e3d2b90013277dc91

0x53b2279beb4c4c12ea063d0e3d2b90013277dc91

Realised P&L
$1.33
Volume
$33.76
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$2.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No0.8000.805$1.01+$0.01
Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? · Yes0.5900.585$0.99$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes0.3600.345$0.96$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:41Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
09-23 02:41Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?BUY0.8$1.00
09-22 18:41Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-22 10:37Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of September 21 2026?BUY0.4$1.00
09-22 02:36Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-19 05:34Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.6799996464$1.00
09-18 08:04Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.74$1.00
09-17 21:54Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-17 12:52Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
09-17 03:53Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.549999945$1.00
09-16 19:46Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
09-16 11:45Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.219999978$1.00
09-16 03:45Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?BUY0.7099998509$1.00
09-10 07:42Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?BUY0.75$1.00
09-09 23:02Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.3599999712$1.00