PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Scarletttye

0x53ae0010f44f3ede94cc223d392dc78c2b752af1

Realised P&L
$-914.50
Volume
$61.7k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$647.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration78.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026? · No0.8301.000$343.00+$58.31
Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.135$259.74+$67.34
Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? · Yes0.1300.021$44.46$237.51
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Kickoff Playoffs · Dragon Ranger Gaming0.4000.000$0.00$1.6k
Jazz vs. Hawks · Jazz0.2600.000$0.00$909.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-22 08:38Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.13$37.31
08-22 07:49Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.13$83.07
08-22 07:35Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.13$81.77
08-22 07:29Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30?BUY0.13$79.82
07-14 11:34Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$32.30
07-14 11:33Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$53.90
07-14 11:27Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$52.70
07-14 11:10Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$53.50
06-25 01:55Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?BUY0.81$321.57
06-05 03:36U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? BUY0.85$255.85
05-26 02:14US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?BUY0.83$284.69
05-24 02:22Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?SELL0.07$219.94
05-10 08:48Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?BUY0.81$151.47
05-10 08:48Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?BUY0.81$245.43
04-28 07:36Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.949$666.19