paulolorrander
0x53adb6431eb0264941548d75249698edea95ccac
- Realised P&L
- $20.17
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.47at 0.931Suriname vs. Guatemala: Draw at halftime?
- +$3.51at 0.871Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02?
- +$2.81at 0.972Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
- +$2.30at 0.972Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5
- +$2.20at 0.981Colombia vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 02:36 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 02:35 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.97 | $25.52 |
| 10-03 02:35 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 02:33 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.88 | $8.80 |
| 10-03 02:31 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.83785 | $8.38 |
| 10-03 02:31 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 10-03 02:24 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.97 | $98.98 |
| 10-03 02:22 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.9062100621 | $100.69 |
| 10-03 02:17 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.864599946 | $96.07 |
| 10-03 01:57 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.96 | $9.99 |
| 10-03 01:27 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.9484158416 | $23.95 |
| 10-03 01:26 | Fortaleza EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.70 |
| 10-03 01:05 | Will Santos FC win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 10-03 00:54 | Colombia vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $120.52 |
| 10-02 23:18 | Will Suriname win on 2026-10-02? | SELL | 0.56 | $70.16 |