0x53aaa83c7f4d10625d8ae036a04659f66817321b
0x53aaa83c7f4d10625d8ae036a04659f66817321b
- Realised P&L
- $18.07
- Volume
- $316.91
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $4.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.835 | $2.29 | +$0.29 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.970 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.310 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.92at 0.259Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$5.62at 0.270Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?
- +$4.61at 0.308SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?
- +$3.65at 0.361Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$2.39at 0.462Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 01:40 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 16:19 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 03:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 16:44 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999181 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 08:42 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 23:04 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 09:08 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 01:52 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 09-08 17:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.299999985 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 20:11 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699998807 | $2.00 |
| 09-07 11:54 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $171 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $2.00 |
| 09-03 04:20 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-26 03:52 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-25 19:19 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |