0x539CB58E7D338c0e819ede3C77B3CFbeDd463580-1765549062667
0x539cb58e7d338c0e819ede3c77b3cfbedd463580
- Realised P&L
- $9.02
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 272
- Open portfolio
- $29.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded272
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $29.00 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.68at 0.972Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$0.40at 0.984Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?
- +$0.38at 0.984Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.35at 0.985Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?
- +$0.22at 0.990Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 10:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.9989999662 | $28.99 |
| 09-27 09:13 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.9989999996 | $28.96 |
| 09-26 01:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on September 25? | BUY | 0.9989999986 | $28.93 |
| 09-24 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 24? | BUY | 0.9989999975 | $28.90 |
| 09-23 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.9989999969 | $28.88 |
| 09-22 09:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9989999958 | $28.85 |
| 09-21 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9985189242 | $28.81 |
| 09-20 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9989999934 | $28.78 |
| 09-19 09:16 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.75 |
| 09-18 07:54 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.9989999916 | $28.73 |
| 09-17 04:17 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.67 |
| 09-16 09:05 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.62 |
| 09-15 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989999867 | $28.59 |
| 09-14 09:32 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 14? | BUY | 0.9989999856 | $28.56 |
| 09-13 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9989999849 | $28.54 |