0x539CAdD00c32aa5aaC815573940c5CF50eb92376-1767975083675
0x539cadd00c32aa5aac815573940c5cf50eb92376
- Realised P&L
- $689.09
- Volume
- $151.9k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.815 | $2.4k | +$431.12 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$673.70at 0.667Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$246.36at 0.019Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$203.47at 0.816Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
- +$157.64at 0.370Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- +$-224.45at 0.396Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 18:36 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.006 | $3.00 |
| 05-16 01:26 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.670317164 | $2.0k |
| 05-01 08:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.998 | $2.0k |
| 03-17 00:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.6899999992 | $746.39 |
| 03-17 00:34 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.026109866 | $746.30 |
| 03-15 11:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.64 | $310.73 |
| 03-15 11:11 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0185102332 | $310.73 |
| 03-15 09:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.64 | $244.54 |
| 03-15 09:19 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0215597349 | $244.54 |
| 03-15 09:11 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.64 | $53.50 |
| 03-15 09:09 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.0225643075 | $53.32 |
| 03-13 09:36 | Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.018764399 | $1.1k |
| 03-08 04:43 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.8164464162 | $905.05 |
| 03-08 04:22 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.3070872979 | $775.55 |
| 03-07 05:32 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.3959626515 | $1000.00 |