RETADA
0x538f844356bdd33cd979ea8489871db3f69eb40e
- Realised P&L
- $2.5k
- Volume
- $169.5k
- Markets traded
- 210
- Open portfolio
- $739.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded210
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No | 0.920 | 0.945 | $382.73 | +$10.13 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · No | 0.740 | 0.715 | $296.71 | −$10.37 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · No | 0.530 | 0.765 | $51.53 | +$15.83 |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? · No | 0.600 | 0.770 | $8.66 | +$1.91 |
| Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · No | 0.880 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$365.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$418.00at 0.470Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$291.10at 0.414US recession in 2025?
- +$180.18at 0.740Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2025-12-20?
- +$180.00at 0.740Will Bitcoin dip to $90K in June?
- +$171.86at 0.740Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 17:08 | Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.84 | $340.20 |
| 06-14 16:56 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.979 | $387.68 |
| 04-29 13:30 | FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $11.34 |
| 12-21 14:15 | Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 12-07 15:53 | Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9180950748 | $964.11 |
| 11-30 07:22 | Will Fulham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | BUY | 0.979 | $280.97 |
| 10-29 08:24 | Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $41.20 |
| 10-16 13:12 | Will Manchester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8629126214 | $177.76 |
| 10-14 14:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29? | BUY | 0.7814082628 | $152.26 |
| 09-19 16:40 | Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.19 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will Brentford win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup? | BUY | 0.9882752673 | $28.65 |
| 09-14 11:51 | Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 09-02 15:32 | Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? | BUY | 0.94 | $25.19 |
| 08-22 15:29 | Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | SELL | 0.54 | $6.02 |
| 08-22 15:29 | Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.20 |