PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

RETADA

0x538f844356bdd33cd979ea8489871db3f69eb40e

Realised P&L
$2.5k
Volume
$169.5k
Markets traded
210
Open portfolio
$739.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded210
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration8.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · No0.9200.945$382.73+$10.13
Will Greece win on 2026-10-01? · No0.7400.715$296.71−$10.37
Will Greece win on 2026-10-04? · No0.5300.765$51.53+$15.83
Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03? · No0.6000.770$8.66+$1.91
Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? · No0.8800.000$0.00−$365.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 17:08Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-08-23?BUY0.84$340.20
06-14 16:56Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.979$387.68
04-29 13:30FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.11$11.34
12-21 14:15Girona FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5BUY0.999$14.98
12-07 15:53Will Brighton vs. West Ham end in a draw?BUY0.9180950748$964.11
11-30 07:22Will Fulham win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?BUY0.979$280.97
10-29 08:24Will another Louvre heist robber be arrested by October 31?BUY0.8$41.20
10-16 13:12Will Manchester City FC vs. Swansea City AFC end in a draw?BUY0.8629126214$177.76
10-14 14:01Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-10-29?BUY0.7814082628$152.26
09-19 16:40Another 7.0 or above earthquake by September 30?SELL0.001$0.19
09-17 15:01Will Brentford win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?BUY0.9882752673$28.65
09-14 11:51Will Arsenal finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.93$93.00
09-02 15:32Will Liverpool finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?BUY0.94$25.19
08-22 15:29Will Sunderland be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?SELL0.54$6.02
08-22 15:29Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?SELL0.001$0.20