0x538cbb6b22fb328862480303469c716d0d49068e
0x538cbb6b22fb328862480303469c716d0d49068e
- Realised P&L
- $-46.62
- Volume
- $610.99
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $20.36
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration70.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Set Handicap: Fabian Marozsan (-1.5) vs Taro Daniel (+1.5) · Taro Daniel | 0.500 | 0.535 | $14.33 | +$0.94 |
| Chengdu Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Lorenzo Sonego · Lorenzo Sonego | 0.500 | 0.315 | $6.03 | −$3.54 |
| SMU vs. Louisville · SMU | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.25 |
| Spread: Texans (-2.5) · Texans | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.72 |
| LSU vs. Ole Miss · LSU | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.05 |
| Spread: KC (-5.5) · KC | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$39.22 |
| Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint · Xinxin Yao | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.14at 0.490Spread: Cowboys (-14.5)
- +$23.59at 0.462Houston vs. Texas Tech
- +$19.30at 0.560Spread: Texas State (-2.5)
- +$15.04at 0.480Spread: Iowa State (-23.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 03:49 | Korea Open: Xinxin Yao vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.49 | $34.57 |
| 09-21 01:34 | Spread: KC (-5.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $39.22 |
| 09-20 22:35 | Spread: Cowboys (-14.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $36.64 |
| 09-20 07:26 | Spread: Texans (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $14.72 |
| 09-20 03:11 | LSU vs. Ole Miss | BUY | 0.18 | $19.05 |
| 09-19 16:02 | Spread: Iowa State (-23.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $13.89 |
| 09-19 15:59 | Spread: Texas State (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5599999982 | $24.56 |
| 09-19 15:56 | SMU vs. Louisville | BUY | 0.4599999984 | $34.25 |
| 09-19 03:23 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | SELL | 0.91 | $48.40 |
| 09-19 00:35 | Houston vs. Texas Tech | BUY | 0.45 | $23.94 |