MMTMM
0x5385d7ba1e47497ba71a99184c9af566bb217a11
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $32.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-39.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? · No | 0.430 | 1.000 | $25.58 | +$14.58 |
| Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.365 | $6.99 | −$2.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Up | 0.497 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.7k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$73.96 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$509.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
- +$1.18at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$0.17at 0.950Will Opendoor reach $13 in November?
- +$0.11at 0.970Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $170?
- +$0.06at 0.977Pepe ETF in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 05:11 | Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30? | BUY | 0.4299999836 | $11.00 |
| 06-04 05:11 | Will BNB dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999765 | $9.00 |
| 11-05 09:40 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $170? | BUY | 0.9699999973 | $3.60 |
| 11-05 09:40 | Pepe ETF in 2025? | BUY | 0.9769999566 | $2.70 |
| 11-05 09:39 | Will Opendoor reach $13 in November? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.30 |
| 11-05 09:36 | Will Amazon reach $312 in November? | BUY | 0.994 | $3.00 |
| 11-05 07:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 11-05 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5028792101 | $10.00 |
| 11-05 06:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $44.16 |
| 11-05 06:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999986 | $50.00 |