0x53852223025c00b1ad023f57fef0392f1e35556a
0x53852223025c00b1ad023f57fef0392f1e35556a
- Realised P&L
- $-3.47
- Volume
- $36.78
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $2.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-9.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye vs. France: France O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.730 | 0.770 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will France win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.735 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down | 0.480 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.501Norway leading at halftime?
- +$0.71at 0.600Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$0.60at 0.641Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
- +$0.42at 0.687Norway vs. Denmark: 1st Half O/U 2.5
- +$0.21at 0.833Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:01 | Australia vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 03:00 | Türkiye vs. France: France O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:58 | Will France win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 19:35 | Norway leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.12 |
| 09-24 19:35 | Norway vs. Denmark: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $1.53 |
| 09-24 19:05 | Norway vs. Denmark: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:09 | Will Norway vs. Denmark end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:06 | Norway leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 16:06 | Denmark leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |