JhonyBitcoin
0x5384c5d413d932c9b285718f6f9680edbdf9cba7
- Realised P&L
- $36.85
- Volume
- $16.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.411 | 0.610 | $1.6k | +$528.81 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.593 | 0.815 | $613.42 | +$167.25 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.137 | $81.90 | −$200.10 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.390 | $74.87 | −$3.84 |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.617 | 0.160 | $53.54 | −$153.66 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.80 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.175 | $31.50 | −$32.40 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.254 | 0.055 | $17.96 | −$64.92 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.175 | $8.57 | −$25.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.125 | $1.25 | −$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.33at 0.498Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?
- +$10.54at 0.030Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?
- +$-271.62at 0.132Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-29 18:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.151 | $38.31 |
| 04-22 20:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $25.26 |
| 04-22 19:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |