straggler
0x5382a9601ca34636241b4e43a4395bbee83d8d53
- Realised P&L
- $-560.36
- Volume
- $30.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,429
- Open portfolio
- $4.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,429
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Solana Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.440 | 0.580 | $4.97 | +$1.20 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 22? · Down | 0.800 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Solana Up or Down on July 27? · Up | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.88 |
| Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.68 |
| Solana Up or Down on June 11? · Down | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.16 |
| Solana Up or Down on June 6? · Up | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.71 |
| Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.457 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.85 |
| CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.40 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.358 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.66 |
| Seattle Sounders FC vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.75 |
| D.C. United SC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.439 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.22 |
| Real Salt Lake vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.44 |
| Real Madrid CF vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.416 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.40at 0.493Solana Up or Down on June 21?
- +$26.96at 0.172Solana Up or Down on July 6?
- +$24.62at 0.800Solana Up or Down on June 13?
- +$19.53at 0.327Hertha BSC vs. 1. FC Kaiserslautern: O/U 2.5
- +$19.22at 0.380FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:17 | Solana Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.34 |
| 08-04 23:16 | Solana Up or Down on August 5? | SELL | 0.42 | $0.39 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Solana Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.30504 | $1.53 |
| 08-04 11:45 | Solana Up or Down on August 4? | SELL | 0.33 | $0.56 |
| 08-03 13:56 | Solana Up or Down on August 3? | SELL | 0.41 | $0.93 |
| 08-02 13:36 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.29 |
| 08-02 13:36 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.52 | $0.72 |
| 08-02 12:05 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.26 |
| 08-02 11:33 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.78 |
| 08-02 09:25 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.46 |
| 08-02 09:10 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.48 |
| 08-02 09:09 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.39 |
| 08-02 09:02 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.06 |
| 08-02 05:00 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.17 | $2.62 |
| 08-01 22:20 | Solana Up or Down on August 2? | SELL | 0.26 | $1.93 |