PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ffgt45

0x53773164c18eb67fe77d071b382e6d642f4e85f2

Realised P&L
$391.01
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$39.86

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration99.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9630.989$19.95+$0.51
Beezie FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8800.835$15.87−$0.85
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9780.995$2.03+$0.03
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9810.986$2.01+$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-24 00:55Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in February?BUY0.999000001$3.00
02-24 00:55Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 00:55Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 00:55Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?BUY0.999$3.00
02-24 00:55Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9809999735$2.00
02-24 00:54Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9779999941$2.00
02-24 00:51Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.962999991$19.44
09-29 11:08Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?BUY0.987$23.27
08-31 12:47Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?BUY0.999$23.25
07-17 09:50Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?SELL0.7254944828$21.04
03-29 14:22Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?BUY0.9839999998$41.21
02-13 01:34Will Lille win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.9829999993$20.07
02-13 01:34Will Atletico Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?BUY0.962$20.00
02-13 01:31Will Valencia CF win La Liga?SELL0.999$40.07
01-20 05:09Will Valencia CF win La Liga?BUY0.998$40.03