thiswaysir
0x5375c751dd5a03a0395f77489d8afa24ce62c1a1
- Realised P&L
- $-39.5k
- Volume
- $1.71M
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $20.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.405 | $11.0k | −$1.2k |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.135 | $9.6k | −$5.3k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.3kat 0.319Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$2.8kat 0.782Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$-106.64at 0.015Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$-8.2kat 0.217Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- +$-38.1kat 0.147Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 01:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $12.3k |
| 07-29 06:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.782434157 | $9.9k |
| 07-29 06:02 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.1071297839 | $2.5k |
| 07-29 05:58 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.2k |
| 07-29 05:56 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.6k |
| 07-29 05:54 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.0436781015 | $371.90 |
| 07-29 05:54 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.0553103906 | $1.4k |
| 06-02 02:15 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 06-02 02:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $50.00 |
| 06-02 02:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $200.00 |
| 06-02 02:14 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 15:18 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4716230954 | $1.6k |
| 06-01 15:17 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4253673856 | $3.0k |
| 06-01 15:16 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.1429967545 | $5.1k |
| 06-01 14:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6409999999 | $1.5k |