PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

thiswaysir

0x5375c751dd5a03a0395f77489d8afa24ce62c1a1

Realised P&L
$-39.5k
Volume
$1.71M
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$20.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration89.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4500.405$11.0k$1.2k
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2100.135$9.6k$5.3k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00$6.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 01:51Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.45$12.3k
07-29 06:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.782434157$9.9k
07-29 06:02Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.1071297839$2.5k
07-29 05:58Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.12$2.2k
07-29 05:56Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.13$3.6k
07-29 05:54Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.0436781015$371.90
07-29 05:54Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.0553103906$1.4k
06-02 02:15MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$100.00
06-02 02:14MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$50.00
06-02 02:14MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$200.00
06-02 02:14MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.003$100.00
06-01 15:18MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4716230954$1.6k
06-01 15:17MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.4253673856$3.0k
06-01 15:16Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.1429967545$5.1k
06-01 14:31MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.6409999999$1.5k