crypto1314
0x535feb9e61ba3822902bdc7caaef27334115a527
- Realised P&L
- $-881.86
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $73.18
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.055 | $73.18 | −$99.79 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? · No | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.13at 0.780US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
- +$-4.52at 0.034Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?
- +$-5.21at 0.540US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$-6.01at 0.494US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$-17.92at 0.016Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-11 17:57 | China x Japan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999994 | $172.97 |
| 02-11 17:56 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $172.97 |
| 02-02 14:47 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $28.95 |
| 01-25 03:08 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999996 | $458.16 |
| 01-25 02:21 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | BUY | 0.011 | $5.00 |
| 01-24 05:09 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 01-23 17:42 | Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101? | BUY | 0.0599999972 | $20.00 |
| 01-19 05:50 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $274.05 |
| 01-19 05:38 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $126.91 |
| 01-19 05:29 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $128.20 |
| 01-19 05:15 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $294.00 |
| 01-18 17:19 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999994 | $133.33 |
| 01-18 15:48 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $133.33 |
| 01-18 15:08 | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $300.98 |
| 01-18 14:35 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999985 | $80.00 |