graysonmiawalker
0x535fe3a80377c29e722461cf55d6c883cf939667
- Realised P&L
- $-45.45
- Volume
- $432.0k
- Markets traded
- 673
- Open portfolio
- $213.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded673
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.70at 0.067Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 5?
- +$93.28at 0.009Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?
- +$80.10at 0.023Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 5?
- +$43.10at 0.018Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 5?
- +$42.57at 0.090Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 22:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 06-12 22:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? | SELL | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 21:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 16? | SELL | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 06-11 04:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.21 |
| 06-10 22:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? | SELL | 0.031 | $3.42 |
| 06-10 17:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? | SELL | 0.09 | $3.32 |
| 06-09 17:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? | SELL | 0.011 | $0.43 |
| 06-09 08:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 15? | SELL | 0.08 | $49.20 |
| 06-09 02:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 on June 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $1.22 |
| 06-08 04:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 05-18 06:03 | Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 05-18 05:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.978 | $4.89 |
| 04-17 16:53 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $4.81 |
| 04-17 16:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 03-24 09:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |