PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

pmhuman

0x535e0ad7f8bc6afc338856a1005c737ef1b83295

Realised P&L
$921.46
Volume
$82.3k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$109.46

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1110.403$72.84+$52.84
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2300.055$14.36−$45.64
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2950.051$12.20−$57.80
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.4100.055$5.37−$34.63
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1500.024$4.70−$25.30
Will "Recession" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast? · Yes0.4660.000$0.00−$60.00
Will Base launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$119.98
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$345.00
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" while addressing the nation on December 17? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$20.00
Epstein client list released in 2025? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$23.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.0450.000$0.00−$11.00
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00−$13.00
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31? · No0.0550.000$0.00−$20.00
Who will win Alycia Baumgardner vs Leila Beaudoin? · Beaudoin0.0320.000$0.00−$31.00
Will Diego Lopes win by KO or TKO? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 04:58UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.6699999999$110.00
06-15 04:45UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2599999985$100.00
06-15 04:09Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.020999999$20.00
06-15 04:09Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1609999939$20.00
06-15 04:08US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.9399999964$100.00
06-15 04:07UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2$100.00
06-15 03:31UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999985$100.00
06-15 03:30UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.2099999984$100.00
06-15 03:18UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.1299999957$25.00
06-15 03:12UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)BUY0.2299999986$100.00
05-27 03:10Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2$30.00
05-10 03:37UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)SELL0.188158402$161.07
05-10 03:34UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.06$15.00
05-10 03:32UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2514798553$20.00
05-10 03:31UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)BUY0.2992518666$40.00