PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

shiwu666666

0x535022e68a55290929917efe3caa6c0bbce59434

Realised P&L
$432.03
Volume
$96.5k
Markets traded
64
Open portfolio
$354.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded64
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.0730.095$159.38+$36.89
Will Iran target Kuwait by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3370.360$84.30+$5.45
Will Dems win 10-11 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes0.2560.315$66.66+$12.40
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? · Opp.0.5010.420$16.82−$3.26
Ukraine lowers conscription age by March 31, 2027? · No0.8400.845$12.68+$0.07
Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? · No0.8350.875$8.75+$0.40
Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2310.275$5.50+$0.89
Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2028? · Yes0.2970.320$0.62+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 18:45Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?SELL0.39$2.34
10-10 18:44Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.13$1.30
10-10 18:44Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.17$0.85
10-10 18:44Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.1913031425$168.38
10-10 16:36Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.1839473684$13.98
10-10 16:36Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?BUY0.23$12.08
10-10 16:35Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.18$14.94
10-10 16:35Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.2$29.40
10-10 16:35Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.2012068966$35.01
10-10 16:35Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.2239541321$11.33
10-10 16:13Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.2$3.50
10-10 16:12Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.18$1.80
10-10 16:02Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?SELL0.18$5.40
10-10 16:01Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.07$2.10
10-10 16:01Will Tunisia recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.076$3.80