0x53501a5cae08e0dc136a7cb9259d12def956c810
- Realised P&L
- $-6.15
- Volume
- $82.53
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $0.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.024 | $0.46 | −$1.26 |
| Herbert vs. Bailly: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 · Under | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.80 |
| Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.17at 0.120Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
- +$-0.20at 0.200Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 03:38 | Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.72 |
| 03-03 19:02 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.87 |
| 03-03 11:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.04 |
| 03-03 11:12 | Will the Democratic Party win the NE-03 House seat? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.71 |
| 03-03 08:31 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.84 |
| 03-03 05:41 | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.05 |