0x53358de4c137cdbed303a226d7d5c335be3ebc1f
- Realised P&L
- $8.10
- Volume
- $91.23
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $7.00
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.994 | $2.21 | +$1.21 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.535 | $1.62 | +$0.62 |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.987 | $1.33 | +$0.33 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.630 | 0.635 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.190 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.14at 0.247Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.258Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
- +$2.80at 0.269Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Warsh say "Independent" or "Independence" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$1.54at 0.400S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 15:39 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $164 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 07:23 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998944 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 23:22 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $100 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:41 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:20 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 15:23 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $165 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 05:30 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 10? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:05 | Will Trump say "Afford" or "Affordable" or "Affordability" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 12:59 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 04:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 10:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 00:14 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $236 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 15:18 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 23:20 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 08-31 11:19 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |