Vermelio99
0x53332a5b4d157000b05f1809d684626ff1226830
- Realised P&L
- $-30.37
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.105 | $0.13 | −$0.98 |
| Solana above $165 on August 8? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.03at 0.660Will Gen.G win LoL Worlds 2024?
- +$0.59at 0.770Will "Saturn" by SZA win Best R&B Song?
- +$0.36at 0.760Will "Zootopia 2" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
- +$0.29at 0.800Will Marty Supreme make 70 million or more domestically by January 31?
- +$0.28at 0.680Will US sell Silk Road BTC before election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 05:44 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 05:43 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $150.00 |
| 07-15 05:43 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.996 | $99.90 |
| 07-13 06:53 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 06:53 | Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.996 | $150.00 |
| 07-13 06:52 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 07-13 06:52 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 07-13 06:51 | Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.00 |
| 05-13 05:54 | Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $219.78 |
| 05-13 05:53 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.89 |
| 05-13 05:53 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.993 | $59.94 |
| 05-11 08:27 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $60.00 |
| 05-11 08:26 | Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.991 | $100.00 |
| 05-11 08:25 | Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $220.00 |
| 03-25 05:06 | Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.9886534666 | $302.59 |