PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Vermelio99

0x53332a5b4d157000b05f1809d684626ff1226830

Realised P&L
$-30.37
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
27
Open portfolio
$0.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded27
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat? · Yes0.8900.105$0.13−$0.98
Solana above $165 on August 8? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 05:44Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.996$150.00
07-15 05:43Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.998$150.00
07-15 05:43Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.996$99.90
07-13 06:53Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.997$100.00
07-13 06:53Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.996$150.00
07-13 06:52Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.999$150.00
07-13 06:52Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.998$149.70
07-13 06:51Will Scream 7 be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.999$150.00
05-13 05:54Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$219.78
05-13 05:53Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.99$99.89
05-13 05:53Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.993$59.94
05-11 08:27Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.9939999999$60.00
05-11 08:26Will Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.991$100.00
05-11 08:25Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$220.00
03-25 05:06Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.9886534666$302.59