PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

khill

0x532eaf11f708a4ad72a0d0f61a42796fe073f22a

Realised P&L
$6.74
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
77
Open portfolio
$32.99

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded77
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.7600.770$21.21+$0.28
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes0.9480.975$11.77+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-31 13:36Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9939999995$7.42
01-30 16:01Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.999$4.69
01-30 15:02Will Chainlink hit $15 in January?BUY0.995$5.40
01-30 12:36Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.998$27.75
01-30 12:30Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January?BUY0.999$25.99
12-30 08:28Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.999$10.19
12-30 00:40Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.9989998354$4.29
12-29 22:29Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?BUY0.9989999548$16.25
12-29 21:41Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.9989999918$41.62
10-31 00:33Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$18.75
10-30 22:30Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$22.27
10-30 17:40Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31?BUY0.999$15.62
09-29 11:32Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September?BUY0.9989999974$19.93
09-29 02:19Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.993$16.90
09-29 00:01Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?BUY0.999$12.50