khill
0x532eaf11f708a4ad72a0d0f61a42796fe073f22a
- Realised P&L
- $6.74
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $32.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 0.770 | $21.21 | +$0.28 |
| Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September 2026? · Yes | 0.948 | 0.975 | $11.77 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.73at 0.540Ethereum above $2,700 on February 14?
- +$12.75at 0.560Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?
- +$2.75at 0.720No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?
- +$2.67at 0.680Bitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?
- +$2.54at 0.540Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 13:36 | Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.9939999995 | $7.42 |
| 01-30 16:01 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.69 |
| 01-30 15:02 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.995 | $5.40 |
| 01-30 12:36 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $27.75 |
| 01-30 12:30 | Will Ethena hit $0.37 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.99 |
| 12-30 08:28 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.19 |
| 12-30 00:40 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989998354 | $4.29 |
| 12-29 22:29 | Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999548 | $16.25 |
| 12-29 21:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999918 | $41.62 |
| 10-31 00:33 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.75 |
| 10-30 22:30 | Will OpenAI have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.27 |
| 10-30 17:40 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.62 |
| 09-29 11:32 | Will Trump meet with Yoon Suk Yeol in September? | BUY | 0.9989999974 | $19.93 |
| 09-29 02:19 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $16.90 |
| 09-29 00:01 | Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.50 |