PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

user-418

0x532b5437c9e83a35554b3daf6057acb40222cccc

Realised P&L
$-34.10
Volume
$226.7k
Markets traded
5,551
Open portfolio
$86.17

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,551
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28? · Yes0.8030.998$86.17+$16.86
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 25? · Yes0.4460.000$0.00−$66.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 24? · Yes0.8370.000$0.00−$34.22
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25? · Yes0.4220.000$0.00−$65.53
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 25? · Yes0.9150.000$0.00−$72.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:47Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28?SELL0.999$15.20
09-28 14:55Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.8562001466$13.88
09-28 14:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 28?BUY0.98$10.02
09-28 14:31Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.7899999918$1.93
09-28 14:25Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.8099999962$4.30
09-28 14:25Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 28?BUY0.7887288585$49.20
09-28 06:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?SELL0.999$5.00
09-27 16:50Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 27?SELL0.999$4.80
09-27 16:37Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.999$16.99
09-27 16:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.999$19.98
09-27 16:36Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?SELL0.999$38.57
09-27 15:13Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 27?BUY0.98$74.11
09-25 11:07Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.4199999389$1.65
09-25 10:56Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 25?BUY0.5099999969$8.23
09-25 09:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 25?BUY0.9299999871$2.16