PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bissy.

0x53295fbe13e69e40690eb14b6dcaf702673b7eb0

Realised P&L
$520.01
Volume
$775.7k
Markets traded
6,740
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,740
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026? · No0.4860.455$455.00−$31.00
Lula participates in debate before first round? · No0.5500.988$359.08+$159.09
Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31? · No0.8840.910$209.25+$6.01
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31? · No0.7200.830$205.50+$27.23
RFK Jr. Out by October 31? · No0.8620.900$169.66+$7.20
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? · No0.5940.715$153.85+$26.10
Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026? · No0.6030.820$49.20+$13.00
Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election? · Yes0.7300.735$14.70+$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.0260.000$0.00−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET · Down0.0180.000$0.00−$3.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 31, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$3.75
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$2.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET · Up0.0180.000$0.00−$3.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 05:53Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?BUY0.6033333333$36.20
10-01 05:27Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?BUY0.52$156.00
10-01 05:11Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5$150.00
10-01 04:53Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?BUY0.45$180.00
10-01 03:35RFK Jr. Out by October 31?BUY0.89$35.60
10-01 03:34RFK Jr. Out by October 31?BUY0.86$6.15
10-01 03:34RFK Jr. Out by October 31?BUY0.8539516129$120.71
10-01 02:45Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?SELL0.7$14.00
10-01 02:45Will John Cornyn not endorse anyone in the Texas Senate Election?BUY0.73$29.20
10-01 02:34Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?BUY0.9$27.90
10-01 02:34Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?BUY0.89$88.65
09-30 22:21Will Heidi Overton be confirmed as FDA Commissioner by October 31?BUY0.8726517668$86.68
09-30 14:01Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?BUY0.55$11.00
09-30 14:00Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5981975612$116.76
09-27 16:16Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?SELL0.84$39.48