PolyBot

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Traders

0x532145e4147f4d78e90d855016a43b39bfaf9445

0x532145e4147f4d78e90d855016a43b39bfaf9445

Realised P&L
$0.79
Volume
$21.15
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$4.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2? · Yes0.3800.460$1.38+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2? · Yes0.4000.510$1.35+$0.29
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2? · Yes0.3500.300$0.90−$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1? · Yes0.4200.150$0.38−$0.68
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1? · Yes0.3000.001$0.00−$1.05
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1? · Yes0.4400.001$0.00−$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 08:03Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 1?BUY0.42$1.05
10-01 08:02Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?SELL0.971$1.94
10-01 03:04Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 2?BUY0.38$1.14
10-01 03:02Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 1?BUY0.56$1.12
10-01 02:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 1?BUY0.3$1.05
10-01 02:04Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on October 1?BUY0.44$1.10
10-01 02:01Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 2?BUY0.4$1.06
10-01 00:04Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on October 2?BUY0.35$1.05