PolyBot

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Traders

0x531d4ED40ADC368451988dEF0DA738ce2e2ef04

0x531d4ed40adc368451988def0da738ce2e2ef04f

Realised P&L
$447.25
Volume
$14.1k
Markets traded
464
Open portfolio
$10.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded464
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 07:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?BUY0.9399999981$10.00
10-08 05:28Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8?SELL0.854848$16.03
10-08 04:58Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8?BUY0.8$15.00
10-07 05:04Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?SELL0.8857388809$12.35
10-07 04:05Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7?BUY0.5702307383$7.95
10-06 18:18Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 6?BUY0.8091405586$9.36
10-06 10:51Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?SELL0.9340592248$30.12
10-06 10:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6?SELL0.5404329819$14.35
10-06 09:25Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6?BUY0.5647068014$15.00
10-06 08:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6?SELL0.98$6.02
10-06 08:25Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?BUY0.3099999954$10.00
10-06 07:31Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6?BUY0.8139765637$5.00
10-06 05:36Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?SELL0.92$23.37
10-06 01:57Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6?BUY0.3936659154$10.00
10-05 17:54Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 5?BUY0.8684368079$15.00