0x531d4ED40ADC368451988dEF0DA738ce2e2ef04
0x531d4ed40adc368451988def0da738ce2e2ef04f
- Realised P&L
- $447.25
- Volume
- $14.1k
- Markets traded
- 464
- Open portfolio
- $10.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded464
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.27at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 1?
- +$25.90at 0.185Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 20?
- +$19.69at 0.321Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6?
- +$16.27at 0.486Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on September 15?
- +$15.56at 0.312Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on September 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 07:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.854848 | $16.03 |
| 10-08 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 8? | BUY | 0.8 | $15.00 |
| 10-07 05:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7? | SELL | 0.8857388809 | $12.35 |
| 10-07 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.5702307383 | $7.95 |
| 10-06 18:18 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.8091405586 | $9.36 |
| 10-06 10:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.9340592248 | $30.12 |
| 10-06 10:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.5404329819 | $14.35 |
| 10-06 09:25 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.5647068014 | $15.00 |
| 10-06 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.02 |
| 10-06 08:25 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 07:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.8139765637 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.92 | $23.37 |
| 10-06 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 6? | BUY | 0.3936659154 | $10.00 |
| 10-05 17:54 | Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.8684368079 | $15.00 |