PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5317C12ad7EaFF1C21ADA466Ff0D92fA653A1930-1768341308796

0x5317c12ad7eaff1c21ada466ff0d92fa653a1930

Realised P&L
$-4.9k
Volume
$206.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$40.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1760.029$23.58−$116.84
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2300.025$11.09−$88.91
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.001$4.80−$95.20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.5300.045$0.85−$9.15
Will the US strike another country first? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? · No0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$10.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the US not strike another country before 2027? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes0.2030.000$0.00−$81.38
Will the US strike Colombia next? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-02 20:14Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY0.2035403944$81.38
03-01 23:43Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.4699999932$25.00
03-01 12:33Will Iran strike seven countries in March?BUY0.2188673539$20.00
03-01 12:33Will Iran strike six countries in March?BUY0.1614212515$30.00
03-01 12:33Will Iran strike five countries in March?BUY0.13700309$30.00
03-01 12:32Will Iran strike four countries in March?BUY0.0762066024$30.00
03-01 12:32Will Iran strike three countries in March?BUY0.0781263529$20.00
03-01 12:31Will Iran strike two countries in March?BUY0.0576126971$10.00
03-01 12:31Will Iran strike one country in March?BUY0.0219999979$10.00
01-21 08:16Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.05$1.1k
01-15 06:22Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
01-14 18:03US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?BUY0.1756825034$140.42
01-14 06:24Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday?BUY0.19$19.00
01-14 00:11Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2299999986$100.00
01-14 00:11Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.5299999899$10.00