0x5317C12ad7EaFF1C21ADA466Ff0D92fA653A1930-1768341308796
0x5317c12ad7eaff1c21ada466ff0d92fa653a1930
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $206.6k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $40.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.9kat 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-02 20:14 | Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.2035403944 | $81.38 |
| 03-01 23:43 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.4699999932 | $25.00 |
| 03-01 12:33 | Will Iran strike seven countries in March? | BUY | 0.2188673539 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 12:33 | Will Iran strike six countries in March? | BUY | 0.1614212515 | $30.00 |
| 03-01 12:33 | Will Iran strike five countries in March? | BUY | 0.13700309 | $30.00 |
| 03-01 12:32 | Will Iran strike four countries in March? | BUY | 0.0762066024 | $30.00 |
| 03-01 12:32 | Will Iran strike three countries in March? | BUY | 0.0781263529 | $20.00 |
| 03-01 12:31 | Will Iran strike two countries in March? | BUY | 0.0576126971 | $10.00 |
| 03-01 12:31 | Will Iran strike one country in March? | BUY | 0.0219999979 | $10.00 |
| 01-21 08:16 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.1k |
| 01-15 06:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 01-14 18:03 | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1756825034 | $140.42 |
| 01-14 06:24 | Will Trump and Machado hug by Friday? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 01-14 00:11 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999986 | $100.00 |
| 01-14 00:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |