PolyBot

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Traders

usuch

0x531628dc7ad9fde7f247dde97f1c2553629f4ae5

Realised P&L
$356.22
Volume
$118.1k
Markets traded
229
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded229
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.2360.250$1.1k+$61.61
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · Yes0.0300.035$118.39+$18.34
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.1000.065$65.00$35.00
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0090.019$57.00+$30.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2400.105$44.10$56.70
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00$29.00
Nothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition · No0.1000.000$0.00$50.00
Macron out by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$5.00
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$100.00
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in July? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$99.95
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1580.000$0.00$66.20
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$10.40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00$112.06
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 09:44Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.26$3.51
08-06 09:38Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.25$70.00
08-06 09:37Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.24$58.02
08-06 09:37Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.23$7.34
08-06 09:36Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.22$1.76
08-06 09:36Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.22$6.20
07-20 18:22Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.009$54.00
06-10 16:03Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.7$21.00
06-10 15:50Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.53$3.74
03-09 09:23Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?BUY0.22$6.42
03-07 10:34Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?BUY0.2$2.00
02-02 10:56U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?BUY0.01$15.00
01-31 19:32Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.15$5.82
01-30 12:12US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.3$60.00
01-29 08:20US government shutdown Saturday?BUY0.55$165.00