usuch
0x531628dc7ad9fde7f247dde97f1c2553629f4ae5
- Realised P&L
- $356.22
- Volume
- $118.1k
- Markets traded
- 229
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded229
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$699.00at 0.068Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?
- +$550.01at 0.100Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$379.80at 0.367Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$270.00at 0.100Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$250.00at 0.300Zama FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 09:44 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.26 | $3.51 |
| 08-06 09:38 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.25 | $70.00 |
| 08-06 09:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.24 | $58.02 |
| 08-06 09:37 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.23 | $7.34 |
| 08-06 09:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 08-06 09:36 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.20 |
| 07-20 18:22 | Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.009 | $54.00 |
| 06-10 16:03 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 06-10 15:50 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.74 |
| 03-09 09:23 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.22 | $6.42 |
| 03-07 10:34 | Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 02-02 10:56 | U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $15.00 |
| 01-31 19:32 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.15 | $5.82 |
| 01-30 12:12 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 01-29 08:20 | US government shutdown Saturday? | BUY | 0.55 | $165.00 |