tp8888
0x530a69569a5c47704bad98aa7a454a31a5784961
- Realised P&L
- $-174.00
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 77
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded77
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) · New York Mets | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.48 |
| Spread: Stanford (-10.5) · Stanford | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.89 |
| Spread: Finland (-1.5) · Finland | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$54.45 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.403 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.50 |
| Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) · Azerbaijan | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.70 |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. Ulsan HD FC: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.22 |
| ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Hurghada 6 (Egypt), hard: Dev Javia vs Karim Mabrouk · Karim Mabrouk | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.20 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$84.62 |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) · Bulls | 0.559 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.60 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.07 |
| Austin Peay Governors vs. Stetson Hatters (W) · Stetson Hatters | 0.438 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$37.35 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.645 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.84 |
| Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.30 |
| Spread: Bears (-10.5) · Bears | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$48.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$159.32at 0.395Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)
- +$142.04at 0.470Spread: Bears (-9.5)
- +$127.04at 0.449Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5)
- +$121.15at 0.236Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
- +$112.54at 0.647Spread: Knicks (-6.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:34 | Spread: Raiders (-5.5) | BUY | 0.3499999987 | $80.76 |
| 11-01 18:32 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $82.49 |
| 11-01 16:49 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6299999967 | $52.02 |
| 11-01 02:41 | Spread: USC (-14.5) | BUY | 0.3299999994 | $51.72 |
| 11-01 02:35 | Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $158.59 |
| 11-01 02:26 | Spread: Spurs (-9.5) | BUY | 0.2358425197 | $37.44 |
| 11-01 02:25 | Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5) | SELL | 0.9648764629 | $237.44 |
| 11-01 00:21 | Spread: Grizzlies (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4486252799 | $110.40 |
| 10-31 17:38 | Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999977 | $38.53 |
| 10-24 04:46 | Spread: Stanford (-10.5) | BUY | 0.3599999988 | $48.89 |
| 10-24 04:37 | Spread: Warriors (-9.5) | BUY | 0.5126460292 | $48.10 |
| 10-24 04:36 | Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $98.13 |
| 10-24 03:29 | Spread: Lakers (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5100234886 | $50.10 |
| 10-24 02:42 | Spread: Jazz (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4199999979 | $56.00 |
| 10-24 02:41 | Spread: Pistons (-9.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $106.09 |