kulloalver4687
0x5309b1044536058b9176b2cc49f668d045d905ae
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $97.45
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar23.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No | 0.969 | 0.952 | $52.80 | −$0.97 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.975 | $44.65 | +$1.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.280Pacers vs. Cavaliers
- +$1.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?
- +$730.00at 0.270Dodgers vs. Rockies
- +$600.00at 0.500Tigers vs. Rangers
- +$469.90at 0.630Orioles vs. Phillies
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:41 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | BUY | 0.968 | $41.23 |
| 08-21 11:06 | Giants vs. Padres | BUY | 0.61 | $575.84 |
| 08-04 10:10 | Orioles vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.63 | $800.10 |
| 07-28 07:24 | Rays vs. Yankees | BUY | 0.52 | $699.92 |
| 07-18 12:40 | Tigers vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.5 | $600.00 |
| 05-20 12:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20? | BUY | 0.5 | $18.95 |